One thing to remember is that the electorate has been realigned many times since 1860 (which is as far back as I am going with these). Prohibition? Steel tarriffs? Vietnam? Female suffrage? The political and social and demographic issues that divide people have changed quite a bit over the years.
Which only makes it more important when a state does match up so closely with the nation. Whatever the political or social issue that divided the nation...Ohio somehow managed to feel pretty much the same way about it, since 1860.
I can't quite pin down a pattern to Oregon, though. Since 1980, it has been consistently more Democratic than the nation. Before that, it seemed to jump around, in a way that my knowledge of Oregon's demographics don't quite explain.
To wit:
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiM4PdEAqI3-Z8yzKo2mIhgflLBRHpq8TIchFtlWaQai0H_2Hk7STx14JRSadYAJq_mkN1Fp1jPo5OPEvBfZJrOgQ4P-2G5LZs7B7pU9TDfUF6_bn9LzFtCt7k4Xfy32P7DkeOkmjXVC5sD/s320/oregonversusthenation.png)
Along with that, I wanted to look at two states that would correlate with each other: Oregon and Washington. As expected,
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGfpZZNdJLLJgwcgw1pDC0EjbOC-e65okNb8EYuPWFHhhz4rxgK0xDyy4hZkfhHmPAZebno9Sr1xFauNKlWPMAPci86ea_plZ93cb1EtceOZk_P2AJExPUbIeIEppJUNaXGBYAaxLwKwTf/s320/oregonversuswashington.png)
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